Reports
Nowcasting US versus European inflation: two economies swap places
Will the European Central Bank wait for the Federal Reserve to cut rates first? That was conventional wisdom not long ago, but the diverging inflation trends in the US and euro area – with the likely next step visualized here by CEIC's proprietary nowcasts – mean that Christine Lagarde is probably going to loosen policy before Jerome Powell does. (The ECB president has indicated this is likely at the central bank's June meeting.)
Reports
Brazil: an early look into factory-gate deflation
Brazilian inflation continues to ease. To get a sense of its future trajectory, we can explore the prices for goods at manufacturers' factory gates, or producer-price inflation (PPI) – which has, in fact, been in deflation for some time.
Reports
Indonesian inflation: The predictive power of daily food price data
Indonesia recently (and unexpectedly) hiked its benchmark interest rate, concerned that a weak currency was running the risk of importing inflation. As Indonesia relies on imports for many of its staple foods, it's worth looking at a proprietary, daily index from CEIC to get an early hint about monthly official inflation figures.
Reports
Watching seasonal patterns at China's ports using high-frequency data
This chart tracks the number of ships arriving and departing at China's top 20 ports, using our Chinese Premium Database. Offering daily readings of a month-long moving average, this high-frequency time series gives CEIC users a timely edge when assessing trade flows – as well as a granular breakdown of different ports and vessel types.
Reports
Metal Prices in India are on the Rise
As our premium datasets from India's top commodity exchange demonstrate, metal prices are on the rise as global demand picks up.
These charts track data from the National Commodity and Derivatives Index (NCDEX), showing how prices for different metals rose more or less in unison from the start of this month.
These charts track data from the National Commodity and Derivatives Index (NCDEX), showing how prices for different metals rose more or less in unison from the start of this month.
Reports
Malaysia Outpaces Neighbours in Southeast Asian Tourism Recovery
Longing for Langkawi's beaches or a bowl of laksa in Penang? You're not alone: Malaysia is having the strongest tourism rebound in Southeast Asia.
Reports
Looking Back at India's Economy After Modi's Decade in Power
Narendra Modi and his BJP party are seeking a renewed mandate from Indian voters. Over his decade in power, India has become the world’s fastest-growing major economy and absolute poverty levels have fallen steadily. On measures of inequality, the picture is mixed.