United States Leading Index: US

United States Leading Index: US data was reported at 1.718 % in Feb 2020. This records an increase from the previous number of 1.573 % for Jan 2020. United States Leading Index: US data is updated monthly, averaging 1.536 % from Jan 1982 (Median) to Feb 2020, with 458 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3.355 % in Nov 1983 and a record low of -2.654 % in Mar 2009. United States Leading Index: US data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S012: State Leading Index. The data predicts the six-month growth rate of the state’s coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy such as the state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. Given the sudden, extreme impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on initial unemployment claims in recent weeks, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia researchers’ standard approach for estimating the six-month change in coincident indexes is not appropriate. Therefore, they suspended the release of the state leading indexes indefinitely.

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