United States Probability of Recession
Probability of Recession: United States
1980 - 2025 | Monthly | % | CEIC Data
Probability of Recession: United States data was reported at 0.579 % in Feb 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 0.790 % for Jan 2025. Probability of Recession: United States data is updated monthly, averaging 1.573 % from Jan 1980 (Median) to Feb 2025, with 542 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 87.999 % in May 2020 and a record low of 0.021 % in Jan 1980. Probability of Recession: United States data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by CEIC Data. The data is categorized under World Trend Plus’s CEIC Leading Indicator – Table US.S002: Probability of Recession.
| Last | Frequency | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 0.697 Jan 2025 | monthly | Jan 1980 - Jan 2025 |